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To reverse a decade of compromising total element productivity, local labour market policy is shifting from basic task development to handling active workforce transitions. Governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programs and micro-credentials in information analytics and digital operations to equip workers for emerging functions. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style pathways are ending up being more common as companies integrate AI tools into everyday workflows.
With oil prices forecasted to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local federal governments are intensifying their concentrate on expense discipline and personal capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is rotating toward the monetisation of state-owned possessions in logistics, energies, and desalination to reroute funds towards higher-impact financial investments. While borrowing by means of sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is expected to increase to fund tactical deficits, the focus remains on reinforcing non-oil revenue frameworks.
PwC Middle East economic policy and method partner Jing Teow stated: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now concentrated on shipment. In 2026, the top priority is strengthening financial durability through more protected trade and investment relationships, efficient AI implementation, handled workforce transitions and disciplined fiscal policy in a more difficult and fragmented worldwide environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's economic expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector efficiency, resilient domestic demand and renewed financial investment momentum, according to the current ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to outshine most worldwide regions peers next year, with regional GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Throughout the GCC, non-energy activity is predicted to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and increasing financial investment in technology and AI-related facilities.
Oil revenues will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is anticipated to rise again in the 2nd half of 2026, supporting the area's medium-term outlook, it mentioned. Saudi Arabia will remain a major contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP forecast to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Growth will be supported by commercial growth and policy reforms, consisting of relieved foreign ownership guidelines that intend to stimulate additional financial investment. The financial deficit is forecasted to broaden to 5.6% of GDP next year in the middle of softer oil prices, while the current five-year rent freeze in Riyadh aims to relieve inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also placed for another strong year of performance, with GDP projection to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to expand. Tourist, trade and monetary services stay crucial growth chauffeurs, supported by population growth and sustained domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is anticipated to pick up once again in the second half of 2026, matching continuous financial investment in facilities, technology and global trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook reinforces how far the GCC has can be found in building diverse, resistant and worldwide competitive economies.
The Service Case for Co-Sourcing in the 2026 GCCScott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Advisor, and Chief Economist and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are going into 2026 with strong structures. Saudi non-oil activity is getting rate, supported by robust demand and increasing financial investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to gain from solid domestic principles, a sharp uplift in federal government spending and sustained diversification efforts.
The Service Case for Co-Sourcing in the 2026 GCCWhat differentiates 2026 from preceding years is not merely the velocity of technological modification, though that acceleration is genuine, but rather a basic shift in how business envisage their GCCs' function. The is expected to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, but this development masks a more profound improvement.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss duty, and add to competitive differentiation. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will behave like internal startups, agile, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with worldwide service results. This shift from execution to ownership represents perhaps the single most considerable tactical recalibration in the GCC design's evolution.
This week, we're convening more than 3000 conferences in between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're bringing together investors, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the region, and what follows, including the expansion and continuous development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing role in international networks of capital and trade.
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